Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.560192 0.619166 0.682762 0.756609 0.840212 0.932166 1.041291
2025-09-21 0.458891 0.538982 0.631885 0.748334 0.891394 1.062696 1.285274
2025-09-28 0.390259 0.476569 0.581528 0.719908 0.899554 1.127666 1.443731
2025-10-05 0.359260 0.453189 0.572035 0.735627 0.958412 1.256327 1.693677
2025-10-12 0.333848 0.432814 0.562318 0.747310 1.009965 1.377655 1.946293
2025-10-19 0.310938 0.412743 0.549911 0.752330 1.050578 1.485675 2.191410
2025-10-26 0.291318 0.394921 0.538211 0.755981 1.087905 1.590979 2.444360
2025-11-02 0.275602 0.380925 0.530160 0.763286 1.130153 1.706818 2.728367
2025-11-09 0.255229 0.358479 0.507756 0.746391 1.132235 1.757942 2.908829
2025-11-16 0.243547 0.347775 0.501635 0.753577 1.172683 1.875180 3.220522
2025-11-23 0.229891 0.333048 0.488132 0.747520 1.190070 1.954234 3.472399
2025-11-30 0.220002 0.323315 0.481480 0.751699 1.224655 2.066417 3.803246
2025-12-07 0.207314 0.308606 0.466229 0.740757 1.232584 2.132674 4.056487
2025-12-14 0.196354 0.295961 0.453451 0.732974 1.245414 2.209632 4.345021
2025-12-21 0.182438 0.277724 0.430304 0.705235 1.218694 2.206850 4.459927
2025-12-28 0.177860 0.274361 0.431536 0.720571 1.274122 2.372774 4.980700
2026-01-04 0.172885 0.270000 0.430710 0.731968 1.322869 2.530779 5.512216
2026-01-11 0.167145 0.263993 0.426608 0.736866 1.359032 2.666426 6.014822
2026-01-18 0.161590 0.257964 0.422041 0.740427 1.392656 2.800473 6.539416
2026-01-25 0.156963 0.253257 0.419483 0.747553 1.434250 2.957478 7.157078
2026-02-01 0.149114 0.242514 0.405422 0.731072 1.423904 2.993048 7.445657
2026-02-08 0.145167 0.238450 0.403274 0.738082 1.465223 3.156272 8.135897
2026-02-15 0.139670 0.231333 0.395063 0.732174 1.477203 3.249465 8.637718